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The much awaited phase III of pri­vate FM radio auctions finally kicked off on 27 July 2015, and it’s the government that has benefited the most. Twenty five days into the auction, the government earned an estimated ?1,147 crore, as compared to a conservative estimate of ?450- 500 odd crore it was expected to gar­ner from the e-auctions.

At the close of the 23rd day of bid­ding for the first batch of private FM radio phase III channels, 94 channels

However, the skewed reserve price for some markets and steep prices in big metros is proving to be unvi- able for players. There’s no denying though, that as a medium, radio has definitely become more competitive. New frequencies will offer the oppor­tunity to expand regional reach and is proving to be more attractive for advertisers now, he says.

“If you go by the money collected so far, the auctions have been hugely successful for the government,” says Prashant Panday, MD & CEO, Enter­tainment Network India Ltd (ENIL), a subsidiary of Times Infotainment Media, which operates Radio Mirchi. “Equally, it means that bidders have pooled in a lot of investments as well. However, if you go by other parame­ters, then it’s been a mixed bag.”

High reserve prices He points out that, for instance, 40 of the small­est towns haven’t even been bid for. “That’s nearly 30 per cent of the total frequencies available. That’s a huge loss of public interest, considering that FM radio reaches everyone from the richest to the poorest of people. It’s also a financial loss for the gov­ernment,” he says.

There are other underlying con­cerns among radio operators. High reserve prices set by the govern­ment have resulted in a demand-sup­ply mismatch. According to Panday these prices are a direct result of the | government squeezing supply. When 5 you offer only one frequency in Delhi, o Bangalore, Chennai or Ahmedabad, 5 and just two in Mumbai and Pune, that too after a period of over nine years, there is bound to be frenzied bidding, he says, citing the exam­ple of Colombo in neighbouring Sri Lanka on the other hand, which has 25 radio stations. “Why can’t Mum­bai or Delhi have the same number or more? Had more frequencies been released in all towns and cities, the auctions would have been a much bigger success,” he believes.

Players are now concerned that these steep prices will translate into losses for the industry, leading to a similar situation that occurred post phase II in 2006, with many con­tinuing to carry accumulated losses.

in 56 cities became provisional win­ning channels with a cumulative winning price of ?1,147 crore. Up for auction in this phase are 135 FM channels in 69 cities, which include the leftover frequencies from phase II, held in 2006.

Besides the availability of more frequencies, there are a host of other incentives that the new licensing norms offer. Under Phase III, licences will be valid for 15 years as against 10 years earlier. Similarly, the total FDI/FII allowed in the new regime is 26 per cent, as against 20 per cent during Phase II.

While the industry believes that it’s been a smooth process so far and the auctions have gone off without a glitch, the situation is still far from ideal. Frequencies in smaller towns and mini-metros have found few tak­ers, thanks to high reserve prices set by the government. On the other hand, the handful of frequencies available in some of the top metros like Banga­lore, Mumbai, Pune, Delhi, Ahmeda- bad, Chennai, saw frenzied bidding. Bigger cities also offer the opportu­nity of earning higher advertising revenues, although regional advertis­ing on radio is seeing an upswing.

Jehil Thakkar, head, media & entertainment, KPMG India, points out that, in terms of raising revenue, the auctions so far have been quite satisfactory for the government.

Another restriction is the 15 per cent cap placed by the government, on the number of frequencies that one could bid for. Players hope that the government reviews the reserve prices for the second batch, as they are even smaller in size as compared to the 40 unsold frequencies.

The issue of not being able to broadcast news over radio contin­ues to be a bone of contention, with policies still being highly restrictive. At a time when news is freely avail­able and accessible through digital and television outlets, it’s difficult to fathom why radio as a medium is being treated in a discriminatory manner, says Thakkar.

According to the 2015 FICCJ-KPMG report on the Indian Media & Enter­tainment industry, the radio indus­try showed one of the highest growth rates amongst traditional media seg­ments in the previous year, clock­ing a growth rate of 17.6 per cent in 2014. What remains to be seen now is how phase III will pave the way for growth for the radio industry going forward.

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End March 2013 Eros International’s stock was quoting at ?175 (which is the same as the issue price when the com­pany went public in 2010) and the market cap was ?1,609 crore. Currently the stock is quoting at ?473, implying a market cap of ?4,452crore with no significant change in equity. The scrip touched a high of ?644 in July this year as against a low of ?235 in Sep­tember 2014. The reason for the stock mov­ing up is perhaps because the company has tasted success at the box office, of late.

Ye Jawani Hai Deewani, Ram Leela and Krish 3 were released in 2013-14, all three of them were box office hits. However, Dishki- yaaoon did not fare well. In 2013-14 its reve­nues improved by 6 per cent to ?1,140 crore and its net profit rose 29 per cent to ?200 crore. In 2013-14, a total of 69 movies were released (37 in Hindi, 30 in Tamil/Telugu and 2 in other languages).

Kochadaiyaan was released in 2014-15. The Tamil version was a hit. But it flopped in other languages – Hindi and Telugu. Bajirao Mastani was supposed to be released in 2014-15, but now is slated for a December release. Sarkar 3 has to yet hit the floors.

In 2014-15, Eros tasted success with sev­eral Hindi films – NH10, Badlapur, Tevar, Mary Kom and Singham Returns. The company’s
consolidated revenues in 2014-15 rose 21 per cent to ?1,441 crore and net profit by 24 per cent to ?247 crore. In 2014-15, the com­pany released 64 films (44 in Hindi and 20 in Tamil/Telugu).

The first quarter of FY16, the company’s revenues jumped 96.5 per cent to ?481 crore and net profit moved up 48.9 per cent to ?53.4 crore. However, the net margins were down at 11.1 per cent as against 14.71 per cent in the corresponding quarter last year.

“We have had an excellent start to fis­cal 2016 with the resounding success of Tanu Weds Manu Returns (Hindi) and our other major new releases, Uttama Villain (Tamil), Masss (Tamil), Dil Dhadakne Do (Hindi, over­seas) and Gabbar (Hindi, overseas), doing well,” said Sunil Lulla, executive vice- chairman & managing director, Eros International Media.

Even the beginning of the second quarter of 2015-16 has been good for the company. Bajrangi Bhaijaan (Hindi) collected ?500 crore world-wide. Srimanthudu (Telugu) which was released in the first week of August collected ?100 crore in the first week. High profile films set for release in the current financial year include Bajirao Mastani, Welcome Back, Hero, Gabbar Singh 2 (all in Hindi).

There have been rumours that Eros Inter­national Media might be de-listed. But Jyoti Deshpande, executive director of the com­pany, scotched these rumours. The com­pany is exploring options of listing its parent company (Eros International) on the local bourses, she added.

Eros International, the parent company of Eros International Media, holds 74.37 per cent of the company through its subsidiaries. Through its parent company Eros distributes movies internationally. Eros International, which was earlier listed on AIM (London Stock Exchange), is now listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and commands a market cap of $1.65 billion having touched a little over $2 billion earlier this month.

Eros International, which got listed on NYSE in 2013, has two class of shares – A and B. A class shares are listed on NYSE and each share carries a voting right of one. B class shares, owned by the promoters (Kishore Lulla brother of Sunil Lulla and Vijay Ahuja, cousin of Kishore Lulla), carry voting rights of ten for every share held. Effectively the promoters hold a little over 89 per cent of the total voting rights.